Welcome to The Integrity Ledger — Rate cuts split policymakers, Bitcoin surges, governments borrow harder, and unseen risks gather momentum beneath today’s headlines.

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Finance & Markets

Fed Minutes Reveal Divisions Over Third Rate Cut and 2026 Outlook

The Federal Reserve's minutes from the December 9-10 meeting highlight disagreements among policymakers over a third consecutive short-term rate cut to 3.50-3.75%, with three dissenting votes including calls for either no cut or a larger half-point reduction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted contrasting views on prioritizing inflation versus employment risks as inflation remains above 2% and the labor market weakens.

The split among policymakers underscores uncertainty in the Fed's near-term path, affecting investor expectations around rate stability and potential easing in 2026. Market participants should brace for volatile policy signals as economic data continue to evolve amid residual effects from the recent government shutdown.

US and China Face Rising Government Debt Challenges

US government debt has surged by over $2 trillion this year, with net interest on public debt surpassing $1 trillion for the first time, according to the Congressional Budget Office's 2025 fiscal summary. The CBO projects US debt could reach 156% of GDP by 2055, while China’s gross government debt has climbed from 33% to over 96% of GDP in 15 years, increasing further to 124% when including off-budget local liabilities.

Rising debt burdens in both the US and China signal potential economic headwinds, including weaker dollar performance, sustained Treasury yields, and heightened market volatility. Investors and policymakers should anticipate increased government financing costs, local defaults in China, and broader fiscal risks affecting global growth dynamics.

Business & Investments

E2E Transportation’s SME IPO Attracts Record Rs 29,500 Crore Bids

E2E Transportation Infrastructure’s SME IPO received unprecedented bids worth Rs 29,500 crore, making it India's most subscribed SME issue. The Rs 84.22 crore IPO, backed by investor Mukul Agrawal, saw 525 times overall subscription with strong participation across retail, non-institutional, and institutional investors.

This record subscription underscores robust investor confidence in India’s railway and transport infrastructure sectors. The IPO proceeds will enhance E2E Transportation’s ability to fund larger projects, positioning it to capitalize on India’s expanding railway modernization efforts.

Crypto & Fintech

Metaplanet Raises Bitcoin Holdings to 35,102 BTC with 568% Yield

Metaplanet increased its Bitcoin holdings to 35,102 BTC as of December 30, 2025, following a Q4 purchase of 4,279 BTC for $451 million at an average price of $105,412 per coin. The company reported a 568.2% year-to-date BTC yield in 2025 and financed acquisitions via $280 million in Bitcoin-backed loans and issuing 23.61 million Class B Preferred Shares. Metaplanet aims to expand its Bitcoin portfolio to 100,000 BTC by the end of 2026.

Metaplanet’s strategic use of Bitcoin-backed loans and equity issuance highlights innovative financing in corporate crypto adoption, providing a model for shareholder value enhancement amid volatility. Investors should monitor the company’s BTC yield trends and operational revenue growth as it pursues ambitious accumulation targets.

BLAQclouds Launches Redesigned ApolloCASH Interface for Easy Remittances

BLAQclouds, Inc. unveiled a redesigned ApolloCASH user interface on December 30, 2025, enhancing its blockchain-based cross-border remittance platform. The new UI simplifies sending and redeeming funds through an intuitive workflow while preserving zero-knowledge settlement architecture and security. ApolloCASH supports multiple funding and payout methods including PayPal, Venmo, Zelle, and Wise, ensuring compliance and privacy under a member-based verified model.

The streamlined ApolloCASH interface lowers barriers for users unfamiliar with blockchain, enabling secure, compliant global payments without managing wallets or keys. This update reinforces BLAQclouds' mission to bridge traditional finance and Web3 through accessible, institutional-grade fintech solutions.

Emerging Tech & Ethics

Datavault AI to Showcase Acoustics Innovations at CES 2026

Datavault AI (NASDAQ:DVLT) announced it will exhibit its WiSA, ADIO, VerifyU, DVHolo, Events Citadel, and other technologies at CES 2026 in Las Vegas from January 6-9. The company highlighted key advances in its Acoustics Division, including nine new patents for WiSA in 2025, expanding OEM adoption with brands like Klipsch and Bang & Olufsen, and progress on its Gen 2 software platform currently deployed in set-top boxes and premium speakers. Datavault AI recently acquired SyncIN broadcast technology and patents from Turner Global Media to enhance its data-over-sound capabilities.

Datavault AI’s expanded intellectual property and strengthened OEM partnerships position it as a leader in wireless audio technology, enhancing its market penetration amid growing demand for spatial HD sound. The Gen 2 platform’s improved performance and flexibility support commercial scalability, while CES 2026 offers a key stage to demonstrate these innovations and attract further collaborations in audio and data monetization.

Coinbase CEO Commends Hyderabad Police After $400M Cyberattack Arrest

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong praised Hyderabad Police following the arrest of a former customer support agent implicated in a cyberattack and extortion scheme targeting the exchange. The breach, disclosed earlier this year, involved insiders bribed by hackers and exposed sensitive user data. Coinbase estimates the financial impact could reach $400 million, covering reimbursements and security improvements.

The arrest underscores the critical role of international law enforcement collaboration in tackling insider-assisted cybercrime. For Coinbase, this milestone advances the ongoing investigation and helps restore customer confidence amid costly remediation efforts.

Forensic Lens

Money Trails

REE Automotive announced its financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2025, highlighting a shift to a technology-first business model focused on software-defined vehicle (SDV) technologies. The company converted a previous MOU into a binding $107 million agreement to develop an autonomous public transport shuttle and signed new MOUs with Mitsubishi Fuso and Cascadia Motion to expand SDV applications. REE reduced monthly operating expenses from $6 million to an estimated $3.1–3.3 million in Q4 2025, targeting further reduction to $1.8 million by Q1 2026. GAAP net loss improved 33% year-over-year to $24.3 million, while free cash flow burn increased 31% to $52.5 million.

REE's strategic pivot to licensing and collaboration with OEMs could accelerate market adoption of its SDV platform and reduce capital intensity. The binding agreement and new partnerships position REE to capitalize on emerging autonomous and electrification trends, with potential revenue streams exceeding $100 million. Cost reduction efforts enhance financial sustainability, supporting long-term shareholder value creation.

Corruption & Governance

Days before Donald Trump’s January 2025 inauguration, DOJ lawyers warned the transition team that Tom Homan, Trump’s appointed border czar, was under FBI bribery investigation linked to promises of securing government contracts. Despite FBI evidence of Homan accepting $50,000 in cash and soliciting $1 million for contracts, he was granted a security clearance after Trump initially resisted nominee background checks.

The delayed and incomplete vetting process exposed significant risks of corruption within senior government appointments. This case underscores the need for rigorous, timely background checks to prevent compromised officials from assuming sensitive roles in future administrations.

Fraud Watch

The Enforcement Directorate has exposed a ₹2,883-crore liquor scam in Chhattisgarh from 2019 to 2023 involving bureaucrats, politicians, and private distillers. The probe revealed a criminal syndicate manipulating the State’s excise policy through illegal commissions, off-the-books liquor sales, and inflated government procurement prices. Authorities have named 81 accused, arrested nine, and attached assets worth ₹382.32 crore linked to the case.

This case highlights pervasive corruption risks in state excise departments, emphasizing the need for stronger regulatory oversight. The extensive asset attachments and arrests may signal enhanced enforcement focus on financial crimes tied to political and bureaucratic collusion.

Global Integrity Outlook

Global

Former Russian banker Oleg Tinkov claims an Instagram post condemning the Ukraine war led to a forced sale of his 35% stake in Tinkoff Bank at about 3% of its value, costing him nearly $9 billion. The sale happened under Kremlin pressure, illustrating how dissenting billionaires face severe repercussions in Russia. Tinkov subsequently renounced his citizenship and now backs a Mexican fintech.

Middle East

The UAE denied Saudi Arabia’s accusations of supplying weapons to Yemeni separatists amid rising Gulf tensions. Saudi-led coalition struck what it called an Emirati weapons shipment at Al-Mukalla port, leading Yemen’s presidential council to declare a state of emergency and cancel a security pact with the UAE. The dispute escalates regional instability and complicates ongoing conflicts in Yemen.

China

China's People's Liberation Army conducted a second day of large-scale live-fire military drills around Taiwan as part of its 'Justice Mission 2025' to deter external support for the island it claims. The maneuvers disrupted over 900 flights and increased tensions in the Taiwan Strait, with some Chinese rockets landing within 24 nautical miles of Taiwan. Taiwan condemned the drills while deploying forces to monitor and respond to the incursions.

Asia

The death of Khaleda Zia leaves a political void in Bangladesh as her son, Tarique Rahman, is set to lead the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) ahead of next year’s elections. Once anti-India, Rahman appears to be softening his stance, potentially improving India-Bangladesh ties and signaling a shift towards a more liberal BNP agenda amid regional political shifts.

Iran

Iran is experiencing its largest protests in years due to the rial currency crashing to a record low of 1.42 million to the dollar, sparking economic distress and inflation over 42%. Hundreds gathered around Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, with President Masoud Pezeshkian urging authorities to address protesters’ demands amid fears of hyperinflation and systemic mismanagement.

Quick Bits / Short Reads

  • The Federal Reserve will see key changes in 2026 including Fed Chair Powell's term ending in May and a potential dovish shift with new Trump appointees expected to push for rate cuts amid inflation and labor market uncertainty. — Forexlive

  • Global markets finish 2025 mixed as Europe's shares open flat, Japan's Nikkei ends above 50,000 for the first time up 25% for the year, gold climbs 0.7%, and US futures remain largely unchanged. — Fast Company

  • Warren Buffett steps down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway on December 31, handing over to Gregory Abel after six decades that grew the conglomerate to a $1 trillion empire with investments in Apple, AmEx, and Bank of America. — Business News India

  • US stock futures trade mixed amid a Santa Claus rally recovery, with notable moves including Boeing gaining on an $8.6B Pentagon contract and Freeport-McMoRan rising as copper hits record $12,000 per ton. — Benzinga

  • Delixy Holdings reports $102 million revenue and $0.6 million net income for H1 2025, with revenues down from $143.8 million last year due to weaker oil prices but profits improved on expense controls following its Nasdaq IPO. — Benzinga

  • Euro Tech Holdings posts $5.9 million revenue for H1 2025, down 18.9% year-over-year, with a net loss of $127,000 due to reduced US-China product sales amid tariffs and geopolitical pressures. — Benzinga

  • ON24 agrees to be acquired by Cvent in a $400 million cash deal, offering ON24 shareholders $8.10 per share, a premium of approximately 62%. — Seeking Alpha

  • Captivision engages Hard Rock Consulting to reaffirm mining reserves of Montana Tunnels Mining ahead of its acquisition, aiming to reposition as diversified gold mining company Montana Gold Inc. — Benzinga

Stay sharp, stay ethical, and keep following the money.
The Integrity Ledger Team

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